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UID:1a57cd4eceb1d93cc444cbfc0a2e5515
CATEGORIES:Symmetric Functions & Probability Theory Seminar
CREATED:20250331T110254
SUMMARY:Simultaneous elections make single-party sweeps more likely
LOCATION:Hill 705
DESCRIPTION:Date: 04/02/2025Speaker: Siddhartha Sahi (https://sites.math.rutgers.edu/~s
 ahi/) (Rutgers)\nTitle: Simultaneous elections make single-party sweeps mor
 e likely\nAbstract: In a country with multiple elections, it may prove econ
 omically expedient to hold some or all of them on a common polling date. We
  show that such a decision will bring about a systemic change at the politi
 cal level;  an increase in the simultaneity of polling increases the likeli
 hood that  a single party wins all the elections.\nOur result holds under f
 airly general conditions and we discuss its applicability to the two most c
 ommon real world electoral systems, namely "first-past-the-post" (most vote
 rs) and "party list proportional representation" (most countries). In the c
 ourse of our analysis, we obtain a slight generalization of the Harris corr
 elation inequality for monotone functions on the Boolean lattice.\nThis is 
 joint work with Pradeep Dubey (Center for Game Theory, Stony Brook).\nThe t
 alk will be elementary, self-contained, and suitable for a general audience
 .\n
X-ALT-DESC;FMTTYPE=text/html:<div jscontroller="Ae65rd" jsaction="https://math.rutgers.edu/touchstart:Ur
 sOsc; click:KjsqPd; focusout:QZoaZ; mouseover:y0pDld; mouseout:dq0hvd;fv1Rj
 c:jbFSOd;CrfLRd:SzACGe;" style="display: inline-block; max-width: 100%; pos
 ition: relative;"><span style="font-family: Lato, Arial; font-size: 11pt; f
 ont-variant: normal; font-weight: bold; vertical-align: baseline;">Date</sp
 an><span style="font-size: 11pt; font-variant: normal; vertical-align: base
 line;">: 0</span><span style="font-size: 11pt; vertical-align: baseline;">4
 </span><span style="font-size: 11pt; font-variant: normal; vertical-align: 
 baseline;">/02/2025</span></div><p dir="ltr" style="margin: 12px 0px 0px; o
 utline: none; position: relative; color: #212121; font-size: 11pt; font-sty
 le: normal; font-weight: 400; font-family: Lato, sans-serif; line-height: 1
 .6667; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 
 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; white-space: norma
 l;"><span style="font-family: Lato, Arial; font-variant: normal; font-weigh
 t: bold;">Speaker</span><span style="font-variant: normal;">:&nbsp;</span><
 a href="https://sites.math.rutgers.edu/~sahi/" target="_blank" rel="noopene
 r" style="color: inherit; text-decoration: none;"><span style="color: #0065
 80; font-variant: normal; text-decoration: underline;">Siddhartha Sahi</spa
 n></a><span style="font-variant: normal;">&nbsp;(Rutgers)</span></p><p dir=
 "ltr" style="margin: 12px 0px 0px; outline: none; position: relative; color
 : #212121; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: 400; font-fami
 ly: Lato, sans-serif; line-height: 1.6667; letter-spacing: normal; orphans:
  2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; w
 ord-spacing: 0px; white-space: normal;"><span style="font-family: Lato, Ari
 al; font-variant: normal; font-weight: bold;">Title</span><span style="font
 -variant: normal;">:&nbsp;</span>Simultaneous elections make single-party s
 weeps more likely</p><p dir="ltr" style="margin: 12px 0px 0px; outline: non
 e; position: relative; color: #212121; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal;
  font-weight: 400; font-family: Lato, sans-serif; line-height: 1.6667; lett
 er-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-t
 ransform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; white-space: normal;"><span s
 tyle="font-family: Lato, Arial; font-variant: normal; font-weight: bold;">A
 bstract</span><span style="font-variant: normal;">:&nbsp;</span>In a countr
 y with multiple elections, it may prove economically expedient to hold some
  or all of them on a common polling date. We show that such a decision will
  bring about a systemic change at the political level;&nbsp; an increase in
  the simultaneity of polling increases the likelihood that&nbsp; a single p
 arty wins all the elections.</p><p dir="ltr" style="margin: 12px 0px 0px; o
 utline: none; position: relative; color: #212121; font-size: 11pt; font-sty
 le: normal; font-weight: 400; font-family: Lato, sans-serif; line-height: 1
 .6667; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 
 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; white-space: norma
 l;">Our result holds under fairly general conditions and we discuss its app
 licability to the two most common real world electoral systems, namely "fir
 st-past-the-post" (most voters) and "party list proportional representation
 " (most countries). In the course of our analysis, we obtain a slight gener
 alization of the Harris correlation inequality for monotone functions on th
 e Boolean lattice.</p><p dir="ltr" style="margin: 12px 0px 0px; outline: no
 ne; position: relative; color: #212121; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal
 ; font-weight: 400; font-family: Lato, sans-serif; line-height: 1.6667; let
 ter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-
 transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; white-space: normal;">This i
 s joint work with Pradeep Dubey (Center for Game Theory, Stony Brook).</p><
 p dir="ltr" style="margin: 12px 0px 0px; outline: none; position: relative;
  color: #212121; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: 400; fon
 t-family: Lato, sans-serif; line-height: 1.6667; padding-bottom: 0px; lette
 r-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-tr
 ansform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; white-space: normal;">The talk
  will be elementary, self-contained, and suitable for a general audience.</
 p>
CONTACT:Siddhartha Sahi 
DTSTAMP:20260830T130030
DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20250402T104500
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20250402T234500
SEQUENCE:0
TRANSP:OPAQUE
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